ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: November 14, 2016, 02:32:56 AM » |
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Again, due to the Democratic trend nationally of college educated suburbs to the Democrats, some Republicans underperformed. Here are some of them.
FL-07
Murphy: 181,758 (51.5%) Mica: 171,412 (48.5%)
In my opinion, this was the most shocking house result of the election. I thought Mica was a good fit, I don't even know if Clinton won this one, but nonetheless he got squeaked out and at best performed only slightly better than Trump.
FL-27
Ros-Lehtinen: 157,763 (54.9%) Fuhrman: 129,548 (45.1%)
Ros-Lehtinen has had no problem winning in landslides in her Democratic leaning Cuban districts before, until now. It appears her popularity is rubbing off with polarization.
AL-02
Roby: 134,450 (54.6%) Mathis: 111,640 (45.4%)
This one is a complete mystery to me, a 63% Romney district with no Trump weaknesses. Roby has to be an exceptionally bad candidate or something?
TX-07
Culberson: 143,369 (56.2%) Cargas: 111,774 (43.8%)
A great example of what challenges the Texas GOP will have to face in the future holding on to their edge in the state. This was at least 59% Romney in 2012 and Trump undoubtedly dragged him down in this suburban Houston seat.
NJ-05
Gottheimer: 156,863 (50.5%) Garrett: 146,643 (47.2%)
We knew Garrett was somewhat of a bad candidate, but comparing to everything else I certainly didn't expect this to be one of the few defeats. Trump probably even carried the district, but nontheless an obvious under performance.
CA-49
Issa: 102,953 (51.0%) Applegate: 98,867 (49.0%)
We saw early signs in the primary, but the possibility of Issa losing is kind of mindblowing. Certainly a D trending area of Orange and San Diego that Republicans are going to have a hard time in the next few years holding on to.
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