ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: March 13, 2016, 03:35:32 PM » |
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I provide that you know more about Illinois than I do, but I highly doubt Clinton will get a 70/30 split out of Cook. Sanders got 31% of the black vote out of Michigan, and there's not much reason to think he can't do just as good or almost as good in Illinois. And that's just the black vote, there's some white portions which will probably favor Bernie (the southwest of the county, as you explained for Trump) even though much of the upscale whites will go for Clinton. If I had to guess, it'll probably be more like 60/40.
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