Landslides

[ElectionsGuy]

Coons, Schatz, Collins, Markey, Inhofe, Lankford, Reed, and Enzi.

I'm leaning no with Risch, as I think he'll lose Blaine. At the same time, I'm leaning yes with Enzi on barely winning Teton county.

With Shaheen, I think she'll lose Rockingham. With Roberts, he'll lose Douglas and Wyandotte for sure. And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster. Others are self explanatory. I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city. And South Dakota has Shannon County, so....

[ElectionsGuy]

And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster.

Johanns won both Thurston and Douglas in the Obama year.

I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city.

Warner won all but four counties in 2008.
With a strengthened Sarvis it is not utterly out of question that Warner wins each county (which is still rather unlikely).

1. Johanns was a different candidate and the D ended up winning some rural counties. We'll see how this race turns out to be in the end. I would think Native American vote would go heavily dem in most instances. Lancaster and Douglas as I said are maybees.

2. For one thing, Warner will not perform nearly as well as he did in 2008. He probably will not get more than 59% this time around. Even if he did perform as well as he did in 2008, as Never mentioned, counties in the southwest have trended significantly to the right and some would inevitably be Gillespie counties anyway.