ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: July 27, 2014, 02:12:17 PM » |
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I do think that control won't be settled until the (likely) Louisiana runoff. On Nov. 4th, Republicans have 4-5 other opportunities to pick up seats (besides the obvious three that they will gain), and those are AR, NC, AK, IA, and CO. I think they'll successfully do two (Arkansas and Alaska, but Alaska won't be settled until late in the night because it doesn't close until 1:00 AM EST), and Louisiana becomes the ultimate target of victory for republicans, and the ultimate target of defense for democrats.
While I do think Georgia can go to a runoff, I think it'll be less important and Perdue has a much greater chance of winning by that point anyway.
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