The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (user search)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 148254 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #75 on: July 22, 2014, 06:31:34 PM »

This will probably be tight, but I'll be surprised if Perdue wins.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #76 on: July 22, 2014, 06:36:59 PM »

Irwin County is 100% Kingston so far.

It has 3 votes Wink
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #77 on: July 22, 2014, 07:07:46 PM »

How friendly to you guys think the Atlanta counties will be to both candidates? I would think it leans Perdue.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #78 on: July 22, 2014, 07:11:54 PM »

From what it looks like, Southern Georgia is turning out disproportionately first, so Perdue might get ahead soon.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #79 on: July 22, 2014, 07:54:31 PM »

I'm going to predict that Perdue will win with slightly over 51%. Right now its literally neck and neck by all sources. And, it looks like Jody Hice will replace Paul Broun.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #80 on: July 22, 2014, 08:31:47 PM »

Chatham County still has half to report and the margin is huge for Kingston. I don't think this should be called yet.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #81 on: July 22, 2014, 08:33:23 PM »

If Perdue wins, this will be another runoff race where the polls where wrong.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #82 on: July 22, 2014, 08:43:30 PM »

Jody Hice and Buddy Carter should be the republican nominees for GA-10 and GA-1 (respectively) beyond unprecedented surges.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #83 on: July 22, 2014, 09:24:24 PM »

The best thing Kingston's got is some rural southern Georgia counties that have to fully report. I think its pretty much going to stay close until the end, but Perdue has got this.

On another note, Superintendent is literally 37 votes apart in the republican runoff.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #84 on: July 22, 2014, 10:03:10 PM »

96% in, Perdue leading Kingston by ~8,000 votes, 51-49.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #85 on: August 04, 2014, 10:03:13 PM »

Are we the very last primary states?

Not really. Most of the rest are in August and early September. Specific dates are in my signature.



Blue - Primary already occurred
Red - Primary has yet to occur
Green - Primary has occured but there is still a runoff
Gold - Federal primaries have occurred but statewide primaries haven't
Other/Louisiana - No technical primary to speak of. Jungle primary on election day.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #86 on: August 05, 2014, 12:14:42 PM »

Roberts should win by double digits, something like 56-41. Also, Amash should crush his opponent in MI-3.

In Washington, "Mike the Mover" and "Good SpaceGuy" are running for WA-1 and WA-7, respectively. And this lunatic is running for WA-7, of all places.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #87 on: August 05, 2014, 07:29:05 PM »

Oh crap, Justin Amash is only 51-49 on Ellis.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #88 on: August 05, 2014, 07:33:29 PM »

Wow, guess Bentivolio is the third congressman to go (Hall and Cantor being the other two). Don't know much about him, but he was apparently referred to as the "crazy deer guy" by some people.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #89 on: August 05, 2014, 07:39:12 PM »

I guess I'm more interested in the ballot measures in Missouri than anything else there.

Brownback has a weak showing, 63-37. Not particularly good for an incumbent governor.

From what it looks like so far, John Moolenaar should replace Dave Camp for MI-4. Assuming he wins the general election.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #90 on: August 05, 2014, 07:48:23 PM »

I wonder why Huelskamp is so unpopular, does anybody know? Other than the fact that he's pretty anti-gay.

1 precinct is in Missouri's 7th, and Bill Long (I) is losing... by 1 vote. I don't think it means anything, but I would watch that.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #91 on: August 05, 2014, 08:12:36 PM »

Pat Roberts looks consistent enough to win outright. The only counties Wolf is carrying is a few rural ones south of KC/Overland Park. Western counties appear to be more pro-Roberts than eastern counties, from my view on Politico.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #92 on: August 05, 2014, 08:36:54 PM »

Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #93 on: August 05, 2014, 08:57:01 PM »

Amash up 55-45 with almost a third in now.

There's a sorta close race in MI-5 on the republican side, not that it matters too much.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #94 on: August 05, 2014, 10:36:39 PM »

In Missouri, Amendment 7 was rejected and Amendment 9 has succeeded. Amendment 5 should succeed while Amendments 1 and 8 are fairly close.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #95 on: August 05, 2014, 10:45:39 PM »

WA-4 could have the potential to have two republicans. This is one of the safest districts in the west anyway though.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #96 on: August 07, 2014, 01:19:16 PM »

Alexander: 55%
Carr: 37%

If Wolf couldn't get within 5 points of Roberts, then this shouldn't be too hard for Alexander to hang on.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #97 on: August 07, 2014, 07:17:32 PM »

52-43 Alexander. Mostly early vote.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #98 on: August 07, 2014, 07:21:37 PM »

Tracy is trouncing DesJarlais 55-37 with 20% in. This could very well be the 4th incumbent congressman to be defeated.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #99 on: August 07, 2014, 08:00:20 PM »

54-37 Alexander, 25%. Should stay consistent.
Logged
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