CO-SEN: Gardner entering Senate race (user search)
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  CO-SEN: Gardner entering Senate race (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-SEN: Gardner entering Senate race  (Read 2142 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: February 26, 2014, 08:46:14 PM »
« edited: February 26, 2014, 08:48:56 PM by ElectionsGuy »

Ken Buck running for Safe R CO-4.

Gardner now running for Senate against Mark Udall.

Things just got a lot better for the GOP. This is probably another Michigan where republicans could have a good chance of an extra pickup on a really good night. If Udall was only up by 4 against Buck, then he might actually be in some trouble. Lean D for now until I get some more perspective.

Also, Sabato has moved this from Likely D to Lean D.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2014, 09:03:10 PM »

Ken Buck running for Safe R CO-4.

Gardner now running for Senate against Mark Udall.

Things just got a lot better for the GOP. This is probably another Michigan where republicans could have a good chance of an extra pickup on a really good night. If Udall was only up by 4 against Buck, then he might actually be in some trouble. Lean D for now until I get some more perspective.

Also, Sabato has moved this from Likely D to Lean D.
CO-4 isn't safe R.  Gardner won it by beating Betsey Markey in 2010.

1. The district has changed since then and there's no incumbent in this race
2. How is a district that went 58-39 Romney in '12 not safe? This is on par with CO-5 or the state of Louisiana.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 26, 2014, 10:05:40 PM »

Looking at that map, I don't even see how Gardner's district even has enough people to be its own district. Eastern Colorado is very sparsely populated.

Douglas and Weld counties alone get the district over 500,000 in population. The 200,000 or so comes from the rest.
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