Most Democrat Possible District by State (user search)
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Author Topic: Most Democrat Possible District by State  (Read 8826 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: January 31, 2014, 01:52:36 AM »
« edited: January 31, 2014, 05:49:51 PM by ElectionsGuy »

I'll start off with Wisconsin, in which I combine the most democratic parts of Milwaukee with Madison...



Unfortunately, I knew I would have to go through at least a little of Waukesha County in order to get there. District is 80.4% Obama, rest of state went 53.0% Obama.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2014, 04:29:51 PM »

Do you mean liberal as in ideology or liberal as in support for Democrats? Not all Democrats are liberals. I could probably create an +80% Obama district out of south Atlanta and some surrounding suburbs because of the high percentage of African Americans but a +65% Obama district based in midtown Atlanta, Decatur, Druid Hills and gentrified areas of the city would still probably be more liberal.

In support for democrats.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2014, 01:26:16 AM »



52.6% Obama. Rest of state went 69.6% McCain.  Its hard enough making an Obama district in Oklahoma alone, but yet making the most.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2014, 04:33:08 PM »



70.8% Obama in Nevada. The rest of the state still goes 52-46 Obama.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2014, 04:45:01 PM »

How are you guys getting the election results per congressional district?



The box at the top. You can see city names, lines, county names, lines, population, election results (2008), CD labels, etc.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #5 on: February 02, 2014, 03:59:14 AM »



56.4% Obama in Utah. McCain won the rest of the state with 70.2%. I wonder if Mitt Romney carried this district. Its probably likely that he did, although narrowly.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #6 on: February 02, 2014, 06:02:36 PM »
« Edited: February 02, 2014, 06:24:53 PM by ElectionsGuy »

Michigan:



97.2% Obama, 2.4% McCain. Rest of state: 54.6% Obama, 43.7% McCain.

Mississippi:



69.7% Obama. 29.7% McCain. Rest of state: 65.5% McCain, 33.6% Obama.

Tennessee:




81.5% Obama, 17.9% McCain. Rest of state: 61.8% McCain, 36.9% Obama.

Kentucky:




62.0% Obama, 36.9% McCain. Rest of state: 61.7% McCain, 36.8% Obama. Pretty pathetic, I'm sure bandit can do better than this.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #7 on: February 04, 2014, 05:28:48 PM »
« Edited: February 04, 2014, 05:36:28 PM by ElectionsGuy »

New Hampshire:



59.6-39.6 Obama. The other district would go 50.2-49.0 McCain.

Connecticut:



There was so much blue and so much population within precincts, so I wish I could've gotten more into it, but I tried to get the most Obama areas and got 77.1-22.0 Obama. Rest of state is still pretty solidly Obama at 57.7-41.1

Oregon:



Now, I don't have election results here, but this is my guess as to the most democratic district, probably going ~75% Obama.

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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #8 on: February 05, 2014, 09:36:40 PM »

Idaho:



52.4% McCain, 45.3% Obama. Rest of state: 71.1% McCain, 26.4% Obama.

Hawaii:



With the rest of the state shaded in. Went 74.7% Obama, 23.5% McCain. Rest of state (rest of the island, really) went 68.6% Obama, 30.1% McCain. Not much wiggle room in Hawaii because its so consistently ~70% Obama.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #9 on: February 07, 2014, 08:21:13 PM »
« Edited: February 08, 2014, 12:15:32 AM by ElectionsGuy »

Arizona:



71.0% Obama, 27.7% McCain. Rest of state = 55.5% McCain, 43.3% Obama. Who knows what this would've gone in 2012. Remember than inner city Phoenix (AZ-7 and the part I have shaded) swung hugely to Obama in 2012, more than any other district in the country actually.

Virginia:



79.8% Obama, 19.6% McCain. The current VA-3 was 79.0% Obama in 2012, 78.5% Obama in 2008, so it was quite a challenge to exceed it, but I did it.

Rest of state = 50.1% Obama, 49.0% McCain

Florida:




89.4% Obama, 10.6% McCain. Not too much more democratic than the current FL-27 that went 86.2% Obama in 2008, 87.5% Obama in 2012. The rest of the state went 50.2% Obama, 49.8% McCain.

These numbers are without third parties, but it still doesn't make much of a difference. You only really have to take off .5% on average (but lower for the district I created) to get more accurate results.

Iowa:




64.8% Obama, 33.6% McCain. You really can't get any real high numbers in Iowa for either side. This is basically a strip through Des Moines, Cedar Rapids, Iowa City, Davenport, Dubuque, and Waterloo. Rest of state went 50.4% Obama, 47.9% McCain.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #10 on: February 08, 2014, 07:23:40 PM »
« Edited: February 08, 2014, 08:34:41 PM by ElectionsGuy »

New York:



I managed to get 96.7% in NYC outside of the Bronx. The current NY-15 went 96.7% Obama in 2012 (and its in the Bronx). But remember that NYC swung towards Obama in 2012, so this district would probably be north of 97% in 2012. Rest of state still went 62-37 Obama.

Pennsylvania:




96.3% Obama. Rest of state = 52-47 Obama.

Indiana:



Sorry Scott, this one's 77-22 Obama.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #11 on: February 08, 2014, 08:59:49 PM »

Here's a map of these:

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