ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: August 16, 2013, 04:15:26 PM » |
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Oh yes, this is a good topic
2008:
White (65%): 88% McCain, 10% Obama Black (29%): 98% Obama, 2% McCain
2012:
White (68%): 84% Romney, 15% Obama Black (28%): 95% Obama, 4% Romney
White vote went down (Romney) for whatever reason that I can't explain, while the (%) went up 3. Meanwhile Black vote also went down (Obama) and (%) went down 1. This is one of the few states that Black (%) went down and White (%) went up. I have no idea why that happened. McCain's and Romney's results in Alabama were almost the same, with Romney doing slightly better. I'll tell you this though, turnout is more powerful than % Obama or % Romney, so it is likely that the increase in white % of the electorate probably boosted Romney a tiny bit (overall compared to McCain) even when it clashed with the loss he got among white voters, not to mention he also got a slight gain with Black Voters and slightly lower turnout which could've also offset his losses among whites.
But again, Romney did better than McCain in many 80+% white counties so it could just be bad exit polling after all.
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