There's a vacancy in AL-1: Jo Bonner resigned

[ElectionsGuy]

On August 2nd, Jo Bonner resigned to become vice chancellor for the University of Alabama. Primary Elections will be held on September 24th. If runoffs are required, they will be held on November 5th, the day of the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races. Then, the general election will be held on December 17th, a week after the MA-5 special election race. If runoffs are not required, the general election will be held on November 5th along with the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alabama%27s_1st_congressional_district_special_election,_2013

In 2012, Mitt Romney won AL-1 with 61.8% to Barack Obama's 37.4%, a 24.4% margin of victory.

Seat Rating: Safe R

[ElectionsGuy]

On August 2nd, Jo Bonner resigned to become vice chancellor for the University of Alabama. Primary Elections will be held on September 24th. If runoffs are required, they will be held on September 5th, the day of the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races. Then, the general election will be held on December 17th, a week after the MA-5 special election race. If runoffs are not required, the general election will be held on September 5th along with the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races.

It's a neat trick being able to hold the runoffs before the primaries.  But I suspect that's just a typo..

Oops, I meant November 5th. I'll change that.

[ElectionsGuy]

D+1

You think the Democrats can win this?

[ElectionsGuy]

D+1

You think the Democrats can win this?

We've gone through this before.

I was seeing if anyone would pick up on it

Oh Damn, that was one week before I even registered here. Sorry.

[ElectionsGuy]

D+1

You think the Democrats can win this?

Obviously everyone is being sarcastic. Democrats know where they can and can't feasibly win or be competitive, unlike some Republicans on this forum who were convinced Romney had a shot in California.

Oh, its very hard to detect sarcasm. Also who said that Romney had any chance at winning California? lol that's like a democrat saying they have a shot at taking Louisiana.

[ElectionsGuy]

D+1

You think the Democrats can win this?

Obviously everyone is being sarcastic. Democrats know where they can and can't feasibly win or be competitive, unlike some Republicans on this forum who were convinced Romney had a shot in California.

Oh, its very hard to detect sarcasm. Also who said that Romney had any chance at winning California? lol that's like a democrat saying they have a shot at taking Louisiana.

He's not around anymore (for now) but it was a poster named Politico. He was hilarious. I'll try to find the thread. I think he basically took a poll out of California and "unskewed" it and claimed that Romney could win 50-48.

I do however think Republicans are more prone to unrealistic electoral expectations than Democrats in general. Many Repubs live in that fox news bubble where they think everyone shares their political views and when they lose they freak out (a la Romney 2012). At the same time, Democrats can be kind of elitist in that they expect to lose races because everybody around them is stupid and they'll all vote for the stupid Republican.

Both parties make completely unrealistic predictions that of course favor their party. Republicans have been more prone to it lately with Karl Rove (for example) trying to make his followers believe his outrageous predictions in 2012. But generally when an incumbent is in the white house the opposite party makes hopeful and unrealistic predictions.