Official SC Republican Primary Results Thread (user search)
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  Official SC Republican Primary Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official SC Republican Primary Results Thread  (Read 12339 times)
emailking
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« on: January 19, 2008, 08:35:54 PM »

Whether waxing or waning, McCain has consistently maintained his lead -why isn't CNN or some other news network calling this race for him already? 

Because the networks do not yet have 99.5% confidence that he won. When/if they do, they will.
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emailking
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« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2008, 08:43:43 PM »

Ok, either I'm really bad at math or the CNN people are getting a bit loopy. McCain's lead on Huckabee INCREASED from when it was 35/30 . .. now it's 33/30? This makes no sense. Maybe some of McCain's delegates are getting raptured or something.

You can increase your lead in raw numbers while the percentage gap decreases. That's just true mathematically.
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emailking
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« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2008, 08:47:41 PM »

apparently I'm very bad at math, then

Well here's a simple example. You start out leading by 2 votes to 1. That's 67% to 33%. Then 2000 votes come in and now the tally is 1003 (you) to 1000 (opponent). Your lead just tripled but  now it's 50% to 50%. That's an extreme example, but that's how it goes.
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