Is it a smart strategy of the SPD choosing a member of Merkel's administration?

[buritobr]

SPD kanzlerkandidat in 2021 will be the Minister of Finance Olaf Scholz. It is not the first time the SPD candidate is a member of Merkel's administration. Don't you think that people happy with Merkel's administration will vote for... Merkel's party?

[buritobr]

The possible scenarios for Germany in 2020 are:

1) Keep the grand coalition (CxU/SPD), under the leadership of CxU
2) Jamaica coalition (CxU/FDP/Grünen)
3) Black red green coalition, maybe Libya coalition (CxU/SPD/Grünen), if the sum of the Volksparteien fail to reach >50%

Any other possible scenario?
SPD+Grünen+Linke will not reach >50%
CxU+FDP will not reach >50%
CxU, FDP and AfD will not build a coalition

[buritobr]

Sure, according to today polls, CDU/CSU+Greens have >50%

[buritobr]

I remember the discussions in this forum in 2013. Some people told that a red-red-green coalition, although possible, would look like a coup and there would be many protests. The FDP and the AfD had 4.5% each one and failed to reach 5%. So, 9% of right-wing vote went to the garbage can. The sum of SPD, Grünen and Linke was ~42%, so, this left-wing coalition would not represent the will of the majority of the german people. But well, voting systems have loopholes...

In 2005, the results were different. SPD+Grünen+Linke had >50%. But the problem was that even if Die Linke was not anti-SPD, Die Linke was anti-Schröder.