What happened to West Virginia and Virginia (user search)
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  What happened to West Virginia and Virginia (search mode)
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Author Topic: What happened to West Virginia and Virginia  (Read 6073 times)
buritobr
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« on: June 11, 2015, 09:43:01 PM »

Also, areas becoming more educated/cosmopolitan doesn't necessarily mean they will start voting Dem because of partisan realignment.   While the GOP is attracting a lot more downscale voters, Romney is hardly someone who would've scared away the traditional high-class GOP voters.  The underlying trends have more to do with gov't funding and immigration, IMO.  

Most of the trending Dem areas like NoVA are becoming much more diverse, though some whites are jumping to the Democrats as well because of cultural issues.  Of course, there are plenty of well-educated, wealthy born-again Christians, a hyper-GOP demographic, in the South, Interior West, and Midwest (Cincinnati, Houston, Milwaukee, Montgomery, Indianapolis 'burbs are all good examples)  Whether they're cosmopolitan or not is really more of a question of definition more than anything.  I consider them so, but I'm sure others would disagree.      

Some places, like the Research Triangle, trend liberal because government grants are a huge part of scientific research.  As long as the GOP remains more conservative on fiscal issues, non-military public sector employees, whether they be teachers or researchers, will tend to be Democrats (barring social conservatism).  NoVA is also changing because of this.  

Exactly.  People WAY too often look at trends with the mindset of "Area X voted Republican in 2000.  Area X now votes Democrat. --> The parties changed drastically."  Just as 2015 Arkansas is not the same state that elected Clinton to the governorship and Vermont is not the same state today that voted for Reagan twice, NOVA is not the same place it was even ten years ago.

Ann Coulter had an interesting article on this:
http://www.anncoulter.com/columns/2012-12-05.html

I hate citing her, but changing racial composition is a big, big factor, arguably moreso than whatever changes cosmopolitan whites are making in a lot of these places.  The liberal cosmopolitan whites weren't voting for Bush in 2004. 

I think this article is a little bit prejudiced against the Hispanics
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buritobr
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2015, 05:30:14 PM »

The maps of 1896 and 1916 were almost    recent maps * (-1)

Exception: Virginia and West Virginia. Virginia went Democratic and West Virginia went Republican. Like 2008 and 2012. But the opposite of 1948-1996
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