PA-Rasmussen: Obama increases his lead to 6 points

[J. J.]

It's still a decline from last week.

[J. J.]

I'm thinking RAS repolled it because of the black sample that he got last time and wanted to have a "better" poll be his last one(who knows which one will be closer to the actual result).

How much of the black vote is Obama getting in this one?

94%.

which is incredibly high in Pennsylvania, right? Obviously there's a reason for that, this year.

Two points off Bush in 2000; Bush got 8%.  It's not too much better.  The key will be the turnout.

[J. J.]

I'm thinking RAS repolled it because of the black sample that he got last time and wanted to have a "better" poll be his last one(who knows which one will be closer to the actual result).

How much of the black vote is Obama getting in this one?

94%.

which is incredibly high in Pennsylvania, right? Obviously there's a reason for that, this year.

Two points off Bush in 2000; Bush got 8%.  It's not too much better.  The key will be the turnout.

Didn't Bush get 16% or 18% in 2004?

I think it was 11%.  The black turnout for Kerry was relatively good.  My precinct had 170 voters at just after 2:00 PM in 2004.  I think it was 135 at 2:00 PM in 2000, when Jesse Jackson was called in to try to boost the vote.

I am expecting close to 200, 197 or about a 10% boost.