Pew Research: Obama+14 (LV & RV)

[J. J.]

Ah, this is of adults, not registered voters.

[J. J.]

Ah, this is of adults, not registered voters.

No.  They are just reporting the overall sample British-style, since they have LV and RV subsets.  The poll article says as much.

Ok, I misread this "among a nationwide sample of 3,016 adults, 18 years of age or older, from October 16-19, 2008."

[J. J.]

Ah, this is of adults, not registered voters.

No.  They are just reporting the overall sample British-style, since they have LV and RV subsets.  The poll article says as much.

Ok, I misread this "among a nationwide sample of 3,016 adults, 18 years of age or older, from October 16-19, 2008."

You didn't mis-read it.  You misunderstood it.  Like I said, they're doing it British-style -- reporting initial contacts (18-year-old with most recent birthday [probably]), then giving RV breakdown, then giving LV breakdown.

But they couldn't be reporting registered and likely voters in a poll of only adults.  That wouldn't make any sense.

The didn't when I looked at the polling, but it looked like like it was of adults, and they used a subsample.  Since the voting age is 18 years and if referred to "adults" it looked like a poll of adults, including registered voters, but not limited to them.

[J. J.]

you all should read the whole thing. there are lots of interesting tidbits deep down. One of the more interesting things is the swing against Palin (page 3). Palin was a huge boost after the GOP convention and now she appears to be a drag, and is the only one of the four with a net negative approval rating. I wonder what that does to her future in the party...will she be blamed for taking down McCain?

I hope not. We'd love to run against her in 2012!

I heard that in 1976 too, about Reagan.