is there any way.... (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 27, 2024, 09:47:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  is there any way.... (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ..obama wins virginia and loses the election
#1
yes
 
#2
no
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: is there any way....  (Read 1142 times)
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« on: July 28, 2008, 03:08:58 PM »

Start with this base: 

Obama wins everything that Gore does except PA, and wins NH and VA.



Republicans get 282 EV.

You could actually add CO to Obama, and McCain still wins.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2008, 10:32:12 PM »

Start with this base: 

Obama wins everything that Gore does except PA, and wins NH and VA.



Republicans get 282 EV.

You could actually add CO to Obama, and McCain still wins.
yeah, we can all do the math.  The question is, can Obama actually pull out a victory in VA and manage to lose PA.  Are the votes he is going to have
to gain in VA in order to win it that different from the voters in PA he is going to have to lose in order to not win in PA.

Frankly, it's probably more likely he wins PA and loses CO and NM, maybe even NH, if only because the states are more different.  Maybe you can see Obama
dominating NoVa enough to carry VA and yet losing PA.  Seems most people think OH will go Obama before VA does.

How about this for an election night decision.  Whoever wins 3 of MI, PA, VA, OH and FL wins the election.  Not perfect, but hard for either to win without 3
of those states, methinks.

Obama carries VA because Kaine (not sure of the spelling) is on the ticket.  McCain wins PA because Ridge is on the ticket or MI because Romney is on the ticket (and frankly, he might not need either).
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 15 queries.