Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[J. J.]

What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!

Well he better get on that "coming back" strategy of his because the polls open in like 70 hours.

He actually is, which is why we've been discussing PA. 

[J. J.]

What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!

Well he better get on that "coming back" strategy of his because the polls open in like 70 hours.

He actually is, which is why we've been discussing PA. 

Yep, candidates down double digits in the Gallup poll often win the election. Yup, yup.

Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?

[J. J.]

Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?

God you're such a liar

No, I'm telling what was reported on MSNBC this morning.

I also believe that campaigns with good ground games will have their volunteers in place more than 72 hours before the election. 

[J. J.]

Because he's trying to motivate his troops across the country by pretending he's on the verge of losing.

It could be, but the call for volunteers 48 hours before the polls open is pretty stunning.

[J. J.]

Because he's trying to motivate his troops across the country by pretending he's on the verge of losing.

It could be, but the call for volunteers 48 hours before the polls open is pretty stunning.

Not really.

But you like to interpret every event as something that's bad for Obama.  I'd like your final prediction on PA's margin sometime, yo.

Lunar, I've been saying PA would be close for about 5 weeks.  I've also expressed doubt of Obama's ground game effectiveness here.

I don't change them, so it's still Obama by 1.5 points.  I'll bet I'm going to end up with a 3.5 MOE of that.

[J. J.]

Alright J.J., we'll see who is closer. I can wait two days, thanks.

Wait, predictions have statistical MoEs now? 

Some posters need them more than others

Give me a break, I made the prediction in September.  I'm still expecting Obama to take the state.

We're still trying to get volunteers for Election Day in our offices here in Washington - why the hell would we stop trying to find more?

Meeker, did you send out an urgent e-mail this morning to get them?

[J. J.]

Alright J.J., we'll see who is closer. I can wait two days, thanks.

Wait, predictions have statistical MoEs now? 

Some posters need them more than others

Give me a break, I made the prediction in September.  I'm still expecting Obama to take the state.

We're still trying to get volunteers for Election Day in our offices here in Washington - why the hell would we stop trying to find more?

Meeker, did you send out an urgent e-mail this morning to get them?

If you're going to update your predictions to have big MoEs later on, why not just make new ones?  That defeats the purpose of predicting early.  You gave yourself a seven-point leeway on margin, that's kind of ridiculous.

I think it's going to be close, so I'll actually stick with the 1.5 points.

[J. J.]

Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?

God you're such a liar

No, I'm telling what was reported on MSNBC this morning.

I also believe that campaigns with good ground games will have their volunteers in place more than 72 hours before the election. 

I think you're mistaken JJ.

I meant, you're a liar that you are in MENSA.

Because, people have to be intelligent to get into MENSA.

Well, I am a life member of Mensa, note that it isn't capitalized.  I doubt if you are eligible.

Here is the link to the e-mail:

http://www.politickerpa.com/wallyedgepa/2466/obama-campaign-says-not-hitting-targets

Text: 

There's an urgent need for volunteers right now at our Last Call for Change phonebanks.

We aren't reaching our targets, and we're facing a last-minute challenge from the McCain campaign in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania.

You can make a big difference by calling Pennsylvania voters and telling them their polling location.

Find the Last Call for Change phonebank near you and sign up for a time that works for you.

Pennsylvania is McCain's last stand. His campaign is fighting hard in the Keystone state because it's their best path to victory.

They're spending a fortune, and McCain himself is spending a lot of time there.

We need you to fight back right now.

You'll be calling Obama supporters, telling them their polling location, and making sure they cast their vote for change in a crucial battleground state.

Find your nearest Last Call for Change phonebank and bring a couple of friends with you.

There are just two days left now. We're seeing a race that's getting tighter and tighter. We need you now more than ever.   

[J. J.]

Well, I am a life member of Mensa, note that it isn't capitalized.  I doubt if you are eligible.

I don't believe you.

You argue that a candidate for president should stop trying to get his vote out 3 days before the election because he is ahead. The worst thing is, you believe this to be true.

No, I argue that you really should have your volunteers in place more than 60 hours prior to election day.  

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Weather or not you believe me is irrelevant.

[J. J.]

Could this thread get any more petty? OMG, you can't be teh smart!!11 Yes, I can too.......

especially when a 46-year-old feels the need to actively take part in a dick-waving contest

No, merely stating facts.

[J. J.]

http://www.mensaboutique.com/mensa_gear.htm

For a mere $9 more your license plate can be framed:

The bumper stickers were about $2.50, IIRC.  This, however, is an example of applied intelligence.

[J. J.]

We're still trying to get volunteers for Election Day in our offices here in Washington - why the hell would we stop trying to find more?

Meeker, did you send out an urgent e-mail this morning to get them?

We did last night.

The only one I've seen, specifically asking for volunteers was for PA.

[J. J.]

http://www.mensaboutique.com/mensa_gear.htm

For a mere $9 more your license plate can be framed:

The bumper stickers were about $2.50, IIRC.  This, however, is an example of applied intelligence.

I was trying to make a subtle jab saying that anyone can buy these stickers

I think they require a membership number and the license plate frames fade.  They also don't serve as an example of implied intelligence.

Which of the Js in J. J. stands for Joke I wonder? He should just be J. P., Joke Poster.

So far, my close prediction of PA seems to be coming true.

[J. J.]

Weather or not you believe me is irrelevant.

*facepalm*

Sorry, I was trying to get the election day forecast at the time I typed it. 

[J. J.]

Hey JJ, didn't mean to be quite so abusive last night, had had a few too many drinks. Still think you post a lot of hackish rubbish, but there was no need to be so rude. sorry 'bout that.

I'll treat you as being a "wet Democrat." 

[J. J.]

Hey JJ, didn't mean to be quite so abusive last night, had had a few too many drinks. Still think you post a lot of hackish rubbish, but there was no need to be so rude. sorry 'bout that.

I'll treat you as being a "wet Democrat." 

HA! you bastard !

Well, I probably would have voted for Al Smith.