2006 Mid-Term Update: Democrats Have Twenty-Point Lead Over GOP

[J. J.]

I looked at the 2004 results and was surprised by about an equal number of 'close" seats that the Democrats won; a stronger coattail effect, the GOP would have gained about 15 seats.  My guess is that there are about, at most 18 GOP seats in play, maximum.

Can anybody give me a list of open seats?

My current guess is that there will be about 10 seat GOP loss; I don't know the open seats, however.

[J. J.]

A number of those will win re-election easily.  Ney will be re-elected.

Those three opened, Nussle, Beauprez, Kolbe, and possibly Boehlert, could be added to my list.  21 possibly in play.  Colorado is going to be the key.