IN-SEN: Brains or Braun? (user search)
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  IN-SEN: Brains or Braun? (search mode)
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Author Topic: IN-SEN: Brains or Braun?  (Read 69558 times)
J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« on: October 28, 2018, 07:48:15 PM »
The thing I'm looking at is that Trump greatly underpolled in IN.   Unless the modeling is really improved, Braun may be underpolling a bit.  A 0.2 point Braun lead could translate into a 3.2 point win. 

That is also why I'm worried about AZ and NV. Trump overpolled. 
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2018, 06:58:48 PM »
I'd still wait for one of the urban counties. 
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2018, 07:38:48 PM »
Quote from: DabbingSanta on November 06, 2018, 07:37:39 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on November 06, 2018, 07:00:06 PM
Listen, I am no Bagel. This is not over. But we all have to admit, the rural support Donelly had in 2012 is gone. He'll either win thanks to suburbs and urban areas or he will lose.

This seems to be the trend nationwide in all elections. Rural support for Dems has taken a nose dive. Will be interesting to see if Donnelly can squeak by with support in Gary, Indy. My guess is he wont.

Donnelly is taking a 34point lead in Lake. 
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