PPP- Romney only getting small boost

[J. J.]

I think it takes a few day of reporting, commentary, jokes by Leno and Letterman, to really get into voter perception.  That said, I think Romney will improve, but I'm not expecting it to be a gigantic shift on that alone.

The job numbers could have a positive or negative effect on Romney's numbers.

[J. J.]

I think it takes a few day of reporting, commentary, jokes by Leno and Letterman, to really get into voter perception. 

Conan O'Brien featured the Big Bird story last night.

Letterman did a top ten list, after first saying that he was worried about Romney just showing up.

[J. J.]

Barack Obama looks set to get over 95% of all African American voters and could crack 70% with Hispanics. If his turnout machine can deliver, he will almost be guaranteed to win.

Did anything about Romney's performance raise the possibility that the president will perform worse with those two demographic groups? If not, how much change in the race should we expect?

Romney might be doing better with Hispanic women.

This article mentions the Walmart moms overall:  http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/walmart-moms-romney-won-debate-but-many-still-undecided-20121004

I saw this discussed on TV; about 20% are Hispanic, so there might be some movement toward Romney.

African American voters are going to be dependent on turnout; I won't have a guess until mid afternoon on election day.

[J. J.]

47% video first posted on Mother Jones at 3PM (WI time) Sept. 17th, which was the second day of PPP's polling. Their tweet compared today to their first night of polling.

FWIW on Sept. 17th Obama's RCP avg was +2.8% nationally and was coming down off his DNC high of +3.6 a week earlier.

I think you have to remember that there will be some lag between the release of some news and when it shows up in the polls.  Not everyone is tuned into the Internet and cable.