Obama's convention bounce hasn't really deflated though. If anything, his state by state numbers are stronger this week than they were last week. Rasmussen and Gallup national tracking polls have shown a "deflation", but those are just two data points. All the other evidence shows his lead holding steady.
We don't have that many
good state polls where we can compare from immediately after the convention until now.
You may treat each tracking poll as a multiple polls, since they totally differently samples.
It's fun to watch you rationalize falling numbers (though I'd expect a bump for Obama over the next 3-4 days).
