What would an Obama defeat look like in 2012?

[J. J.]

LOL.

A black man can't win Georgia while losing nationwide.

It's the 1980 map. 

[J. J.]

Something like that.

This would probably be not as bad as Reagan/Carter, but close.  Obama wins in urban areas, NYC and suburbs, LA, and Chicago, but nowhere else.

[J. J.]

I think that would be 'realistic' worst-case scenario.

I might say Oregon might go GOP in a "realistic" worst-case scenario, i.e. a moderate double dip recession.

[J. J.]

At about a 12 point loss to a Republican candidate:

It would probably never be this bad.

I could see this one:

This is a Dukakis like loss.

[J. J.]

At about a 12 point loss to a Republican candidate:

It would probably never be this bad.

I could see this one:

This is a Dukakis like loss.

How would Arizona, Nevada and New Mexico have more popular percentage vote than Colorado or Kansas for that matter?  South Dakota have more than Nebraska?

Because for AZ and KS, I hit the wrong percentages.