where is the kerry surge? (user search)
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  where is the kerry surge? (search mode)
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Author Topic: where is the kerry surge?  (Read 1077 times)
Pollwatch99
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Posts: 549


« on: October 05, 2004, 06:09:03 PM »

It's really questionable to average Poll results.  However, it's one way to look at least how the media is reporting the race.  At least in turns of poll reporting, Kerry has closed the gap 3.9% using the averages.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html



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Pollwatch99
Jr. Member
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Posts: 549


« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2004, 06:45:10 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2004, 06:48:56 PM by Pollwatch99 »

Courtesy of www.realclearpolitics.com (check post debate poll commentary).  Seems like Kerry got an 8 point bounce of a +1 depending on Pollster

Little or No Post-Debate Bounce
Poll            Pre-Debate*  Post-Debate*  Change
Fox News   Bush +3          Bush +2.5        Kerry + 0.5
ABC News  Bush +6          Bush +5           Kerry + 1
Zogby        Bush +3          Bush +2           Kerry + 1
Rasmussen Bush +4         Bush +4           TIE
ARG            Bush +1          TIE                   Kerry + 1
 
Significant Post-Debate Bounce
Poll                        Pre-Debate*  Post-Debate*  Change
CNN/USAT/Gallup  Bush +8            TIE                  Kerry + 8
CBS News/NYT      Bush +9            Bush +0.5       Kerry + 8.5
Newsweek            Bush +5.5        Kerry +2.5       Kerry +8
 
Average Post-Debate Bounce
Poll                  Pre-Debate*  Post-Debate*  Change
Pew Research Bush +8           Bush +5           Kerry +3
 
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