2014 United States Senate outlook

[illegaloperation]

Hagan is going to win simply because the Republican field is a joke.

Some Republicans are leading her right now because they are not well know and can be consider generic. Once people know who they are, their numbers will drop.

It's too bad that Hagan has such bland personality. If she has Begich's personality, this would be a likely D right now.

Oh, and Begich will probably win. Alaska is an elastic state and Begich is a good fit.

[illegaloperation]

Unless Joe Miller is the nominee (which is certainly plausible) the GOP will pick up Alaska.

Landrieu is going down, the question is whether this race makes it to a runoff...

Hagan loses to almost everyone in the Republican field if the climate is as-is in November.

Booker won't win with 60% (probably more 56-58%) and Cornyn won't win with 70% (and probably not 60% either). In fact, I could see him struggle to hit 55% against Rogers, given Rogers is more conservative than he is.

Why are you so pessimistic?