AL-JMC: Moore +5

[KingSweden]

Well that’s not good

[KingSweden]

That.... uh, that doesn’t look right

FWIW Nate Cohn is highly skeptical of this poll too.

Safest bet? Assume this is Tossup/Tilt R based on fundamentals of race (candidate quality compared to inelasticity if the state), be skeptical of polling turnout models, and accept that we have no idea what’s going on.

[KingSweden]

That.... uh, that doesn’t look right

FWIW Nate Cohn is highly skeptical of this poll too.

Safest bet? Assume this is Tossup/Tilt R based on fundamentals of race (candidate quality compared to inelasticity if the state), be skeptical of polling turnout models, and accept that we have no idea what’s going on.

You guys sure were confident of Sen. elect-Jones' victory a week ago considering we're supposed to "accept we have no idea what's going on."

It's pretty obvious what is going on though. The only question is whether or not one chooses to observe it.

My tweets about jizzing everywhere at every good Jones poll were trolling to trigger/annoy our resident GOP hacks like Krazen, fwiw. That above quote reflects my real feelings

[KingSweden]

Terrific, detailed analysis NOVA!