IA-20/20 Insight (D): Reynolds +5 over Generic Democrat

[KingSweden]

What happened after 2012 that made iowans more angry at democrats?

The white working class sees daily on local news how miserable life in cities is, meanwhile, the democrats increasingly embrace cosmopolitanism, for years, they trusted democrats by larger levels than their equivalents on other states, since Obama went full blown liberal SJW supporting tougher gun control measures, more immigration, trans bathrooms, BLM, Iowa has turned its back on the democratic party, they finally followed suit and embraced the party that speaks to them and wants to save them from being run over by immigrants.

You are insane

This guy is worse than krazen.

In fact we have evidence, since krazen's analysis is objectively true:

What happened after 2012 that made iowans more angry at democrats?

White voters who had supported Democrats swung to the Republican Party.

[KingSweden]

What happened after 2012 that made iowans more angry at democrats?

Wulfric made a good point that 2014 was a uniquely terrible cycle for Dems here. Braley's farmer comments were a death blow. Can't run a campaign that hostile to farming interests in a state like Iowa.

I also think Hillary was a uniquely terrible fit for Iowa. We'll see what happens after 2018

[KingSweden]

Lean/Likely R, but the downballot races are going to be interesting for sure.

Quite interesting

[KingSweden]

Lean/Likely R, but the downballot races are going to be interesting for sure.

Quite interesting

$10 says if Mowrer wins the SoS race he turns around and runs against Ernst in 2020. Seems to be a popular thing nowadays for newly elected statewide people.

That's a distinct possibility

Wtf lol Iowa right winger up there is spot on as to Trump's appeal to Iowa (and most of the WWC across the midwest), Democrats can keep calling people 'insane' if they like but it sure doesn't help their cause. Democrats are widely viewed as the party that spits on poor whites now and Iowa is filled with them.

That being said Iowa is very swingy still and if Democrats can fix their image problem then they can definitely compete at all levels in Iowa, I think Iowa is actually a lot more promising for Democrats then Ohio and possibly at an equal level to Wisconsin (100% sure someone is going to rail at me about that but you clearly don't understand the titanic shift since Title X in Wisconsin)  because Ohio and Wisconsin both have much higher GOP floors, whereas Iowa is filled with swing voters who, yes, lean heavily right as of now but could still be convinced to vote for the right Democrat (or even Democrats in general if they moderated on certain issues; never gonna happen over the state of Iowa obviously since they would then lose enthusiasm within the base, I'm just saying).

Normally I'd be skeptical of this, but I think you're onto something. Democrats seem much more engaged in Iowa heading into 2018 than in Wisconsin