Elon NC Poll- Trump +1

[KingSweden]

Ross +1 in a sample that has Trump up by 1 (which I think is actually a pretty reasonable result). This Senate race is going down to the wire

[KingSweden]

Ross +1 in a sample that has Trump up by 1 (which I think is actually a pretty reasonable result). This Senate race is going down to the wire

https://twitter.com/jhagner/status/778008827958587392

The likely voter screen is trashed as too restrictive. You have to know where your voting precinct is to count.

Whoaaa okay then. Yikes that's tight.

[KingSweden]

Fivethirtyeight adjusted this poll to TRUMP+2

If we cared about discredited fraud Nate Silver's poll unskewing, we would go on 538.

you democrats really are....odd

Don't lump us all in the same boat. I don't understand all the hate for Nate here, except for "he doesn't show what I want him to show, so he's wrong". FiveThirtyEight is my go-to site for an unbiased picture of where the race stands.

I think his house effect adjustments are fine. I don't think he's gospel though. I also check Pollster, RCP and Pollyvote daily.

Oh I certainly agree. 538's a great summary site, but it's prone to errors and biases as any other site is. I also check out other sources.

I think Nate does a fine job, though it's worth looking at other forecasters too. Pollster, RCP, Upshot, PEC and Pollyvote are all a good big picture resource.

I do like how often 538 updates, though the Nowcast is kind of silly