The Walker number catches my eye. I don't see a path for Walker to winning the GE without Iowa.
He is proving himself to be a more and more terrible candidate every day. Poor xingkerui, he likes Walker and his bold spot so much. 
I know, what ever will I do if my dearest Scotty loses?
Anyway, it remains to be seen if Ernst's win was an anomaly, or evidence of a larger trend in Iowa. This poll, at least, suggests the former. For now, Iowa is a Toss-up, or possibly Tilt D at the most.
The trend of getting Brian Bilbray... er, I mean Ben Bixby... shoot, Bruce Braley as your opponent, you mean? I'm curious how Ernst does in 2020 against what will hopefully be a superior candidate (she'll probably still win, honestly).
