KS: KSN News/SUSA- Trump +11 (user search)
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  KS: KSN News/SUSA- Trump +11 (search mode)
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Author Topic: KS: KSN News/SUSA- Trump +11  (Read 1241 times)
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« on: October 18, 2016, 08:28:57 PM »

Hmmm... so he's back in good shape on the Plains.  But if Evangelicals have fully come home, what is happening to Texas?

Well considering that Romney won Kansas by 21, I'm not sure if 11 counts as "good shape"...

However Trump has been generally weak in this state for whatever reason and I think he's been in low double digits here from the start.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2016, 09:06:04 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2016, 09:07:45 PM by Pessimistic Antineutrino »

Hmmm... so he's back in good shape on the Plains.  But if Evangelicals have fully come home, what is happening to Texas?

Well considering that Romney won Kansas by 21, I'm not sure if 11 counts as "good shape"...

However Trump has been generally weak in this state for whatever reason and I think he's been in low double digits here from the start.

538's Kansas average is influenced by (likely) bad Google Consumer Surveys polls that show Clinton with a double-digit lead in the state.  The reason the polls are likely bad is because a good number of IP addresses with no known US location are currently geolocated to the middle of a lake west of Wichita.   People from those IP addresses don't live in Kansas, but are being likely being polled by GCS as such - at least in their national surveys.

Still though, even taking those Google polls out of the 538 average it comes out to roughly a 12 point lead.


I guess it makes sense that Kansas would go against Trump considering how badly he lost to Cruz in the caucus.
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