Which state will be the decisive state for the control of the US senate? (user search)
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  Which state will be the decisive state for the control of the US senate? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which state will be the decisive state for the control of the US senate?
#1
Louisiana (Landrieu)
 
#2
Arkansas (Pryor)
 
#3
South Dakota (open seat)
 
#4
West Virginia (open seat)
 
#5
Iowa (open seat)
 
#6
Michigan (open seat)
 
#7
Montana (open seat)
 
#8
North Carolina (Hagan)
 
#9
Alaska (Begich)
 
#10
Georgia (open seat)
 
#11
Kentucky (Mcconnell)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 39

Author Topic: Which state will be the decisive state for the control of the US senate?  (Read 1682 times)
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,896
United States


« on: July 13, 2013, 06:22:00 PM »

Without Schweitzer in, Louisiana.

The current senate balance sits at 52-46-2, or 54-46.

New Jersey is a given flip. That pushes it back to 55-45.

West Virginia, South Dakota and Montana are now Lean R, or at least Tilt R. Assuming they flip, this pushes it to 52-48. Republican recruitment in North Carolina and Iowa is failing, and Michigan is too Democratic to vote R at this point. That leaves Alaska, Arkansas and Louisiana. I ended up voting Louisiana, as whether or not Landrieu holds on will basically be a slight indicator as to whether Begich and Pryor hold on as well.
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