A week out - what's your prediction?

[Sam Spade]

There's basically three different rough predictions that can exist with regards to this election barring something really crazy happening (not just normally crazy).

I might go into more detail later.

[Sam Spade]

272-266 McCain/Palin

Georgia is totally going for Obama in a McCain victory scenario.  Pass the popcorn.

Montana is almost equally as amusing.

[Sam Spade]

I would be shocked if any of the red goes blue. I would be shocked if any of the blue goes red. Greys are not true tossups, of course. But they all have the potential to move in either direction (even this late in the day. Do not underestimate the ability of the electorate to mack a mockery of us all) and often depend upon things that, whisper it quietly, we don't understand and will never be able to properly understand.

So, in other words, the PA gambit is useless...

[Sam Spade]

So, in other words, the PA gambit is useless...

I reserve the right to change my mind but, yeah, probably. The structural advantage that the Democrats have in that state just seems too large for McCain to have any hope of overcoming in an election like this. The word "gambit" says it all, really. Especially as we aren't in the opening stages of the game anymore...

You're probably right on PA, but who knows.  On the list, it's the state I'm least sure about being solid colored (maybe WI too, since the polling there is always questionable, but the Dems have an even better built-in advantage).  I also question the gray on AZ and AR, but it's not a biggie.