NC-08: Obama tops McCain by 4 in district Bush won twice with 54%

[Sam Spade]

Why Barr first again?  Anyway, PPP is getting close to deserving the (D) beside it.  In fact, I would probably do it, but I abhor the whining it would engender.

Kissell is about where I would expect him, otoh...

[Sam Spade]

They polled over the 4th of July weekend?

Uh, ok.

That too.

[Sam Spade]

Why Barr first again?  Anyway, PPP is getting close to deserving the (D) beside it.  In fact, I would probably do it, but I abhor the whining it would engender.

Kissell is about where I would expect him, otoh...

Why not poll Barr? I mean he is on the ballot in Nov.

I am not questioning the polling of Barr, rather I am questioning the policy of naming him first on a list.  It feels odd, and likely impacts some voters.

[Sam Spade]

Is the order on the ballot already set? Or does it automatically go by last name? If the voters are going to see his name first then I think this practice is logical.

The order and placement on a ballot for the general election is rarely set earlier than a couple of months before the election (I don't have exact numbers for NC, but it sounds right).  After all, NC just finished its primary runoffs a couple of weeks ago.

The candidate list has Barack Obama first, John McCain second and Barr third.

http://www.sboe.state.nc.us/ (see right hand side of page)

[Sam Spade]

Why Barr first again?  Anyway, PPP is getting close to deserving the (D) beside it.  In fact, I would probably do it, but I abhor the whining it would engender.

Kissell is about where I would expect him, otoh...

A seven point lead seems a little high.  What's interesting is that both candidates have nearly even positives and negatives. Voters have made up their minds here.

Not really, imho...  Though I agree that there will be little movement here - no candidate's ever getting higher than 55% here, period.  Reminds me of another CD, actually.

[Sam Spade]

Why Barr first again?  Anyway, PPP is getting close to deserving the (D) beside it.  In fact, I would probably do it, but I abhor the whining it would engender.

Kissell is about where I would expect him, otoh...

A seven point lead seems a little high.  What's interesting is that both candidates have nearly even positives and negatives. Voters have made up their minds here.

Not really, imho...  Though I agree that there will be little movement here - no candidate's ever getting higher than 55% here, period.  Reminds me of another CD, actually.

Yeah. What's interesting is that Kissell's negatives are so high. Hayes's worker comp. ad  probably played a role in that.

If you're an incumbent in a questionable situation, run ads early and often to damage your opponent - that's the lesson Jesse Helms taught us all.