Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: January 10, 2008, 02:24:20 PM » |
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Too early to be placing too much emphasis on polling.
Obama's weakness in state-by-state is that he has not yet "pulled together the base" of Democrats to vote for him, as Hillary already has. Of course, she's also united Republicans and a certain contingent of Indys against her, which he hasn't, but this affects polling less. History says the first thing should happen, but I wonder since he's black. Hard to tell about the second.
Anyway, these are the types of states I would expect race to have an effect.
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