5 uncalled House races (user search)
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  5 uncalled House races (search mode)
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Author Topic: 5 uncalled House races  (Read 3174 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« on: December 03, 2006, 05:08:02 PM »

OH-02 and OH-15 are having automatic recounts that are going on right now, but the chances of them changing anything is pretty much nil.

FL-13 is going to court.

TX-23 is pretty much all about turnout.  There has to be much greater turnout out of South Side Bexar than I would normally expect in a runoff in order for Ciro to stand a chance.  Basically, Ciro has to win Bexar County (and probably by say a 55%-45% margin) in order to win, because I can pretty much guarantee that Ciro isn't going to win in the rural border counties, he's just not a good candidate for out there, whereas Bonilla is probably about the best Republican candidate you can put out there for those areas.

LA-02:  I have no idea about this one.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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Posts: 27,547


« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2006, 11:16:05 AM »

My understanding of the Florida 13 situation is that Dems actually made the argument that Jennings should actually be declared the winner based on "mathematical extrapolations" of the undervote count and the precincts they were mostly in.

Obviously, that is madness.  Not even the 2000 Florida Supreme Court would buy that one.  On second thought, that bunch probably would have.

That's almost as bad as some "95 heads and 5 tails argument is not significant" argument I heard quite a while ago.
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