Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: November 03, 2006, 09:58:20 PM » |
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Corker is not up by 1 as the Republicans are saying (playing pessimistic with us), nor is he up by 10.
He's up by about 4-6 points (outside MOE), which places him in roughly the same boat as Kyl.
I do think Kyl is ahead more like around 5-8 points but there's a greater chance that a "wave" affects Arizona this year than Tennessee. Still, I don't know whether I can believe a challenger (Pederson) is going to win when he still has not polled about 43% in any poll and Arizona is historically known for not giving us weird poll numbers.
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