FL-Gov: Republicans Leads Florida Guberatorial Matchups

[Sam Spade]

As usual, Florida polling caveats apply.

In other words, given a number of different results, there is only one poll that I really trust coming out of Florida, that being Mason-Dixon.

Unfortunately, they haven't polled the state in a while.

However, both Rasmussen and Strategic Vision did extremely well in Florida races in 2004, so depending on your partisan affliation, you can choose to believe whichever poll you want to until we hear from M-D.  (which will settle the matter) 

[Sam Spade]

As usual, Florida polling caveats apply.

In other words, given a number of different results, there is only one poll that I really trust coming out of Florida, that being Mason-Dixon.

Unfortunately, they haven't polled the state in a while.

However, both Rasmussen and Strategic Vision did extremely well in Florida races in 2004, so depending on your partisan affliation, you can choose to believe whichever poll you want to until we hear from M-D.  (which will settle the matter) 

I know this might sound, contrite, flippant and naive to write this, but:

NO, the only poll that matters is the one Florida voters will vote in or on on November 7, 2006.

Am I going to have to summon J.J. in here to remind you of the first law of a losing election campaign? 

[Sam Spade]

Sam, Mason Dixon disappointed me in VA this year.  Seems like SUSA and Roanoke were the most accurate of the 2005 season.

Virginia does not equal Florida, especially not for M-D.  Besides, there's ages of experience we can talk about here.

It is rather ironic that in 2004 only one poll came in over Bush's final margin in Virginia, the rather unknown Times-Dispatch poll.  Then in 2005, only one poll came in over Kaine's final margin in Virginia, the totally unknown Roanoke poll.  Maybe this explains Virginia (probably not).

I'm fine with SUSA, although they didn't do particularly well in Florida in 2004, but if you want to put faith in a college poll I'd never heard of before this race, be my guest.