Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: November 02, 2010, 07:19:05 AM » |
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In the Senate, there really are no "likely" surprises, except for certain folks under- or over-performing.
For Governor, I'd watch NH and SC for reasonably large shockers. Lesser shockers would include CO, MA (Patrick has had a pretty clear ceiling at 47% and Indys tend to underperform) and RI (where the polls never work properly).
In the House, there will always be a few shockers based on the power of the wave, presuming one occurs (though it seems almost certain now).
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