Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: October 28, 2004, 03:52:40 PM » |
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What is IO? (I think you mean IA for Iowa.)
You left out Colorado in your Senate analysis. I can understand why, it is a hard race to call.
I would say that overall the Dems have a better chance to pick up CO than OK, though I personally think the Reps will hold onto both of the them. The CO GOTV among Reps is underestimated and has always been so. Carson overplayed his hand and even though no one in DC(including Rep big-wigs in Congress) wants Coburn in, Coburn's strength among Indys is something that has always been underestimated.
Vitter's chances of avoiding a runoff are getting stronger every day (I place it at about 35-40% now). John has run too far to the right and the black base is leaning towards Kennedy now. The question is, will any of these factors be enough? Hard to tell right now.
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