1. Trump will win Ohio by double digits but Iowa will be slightly closer (but not by much). Both are called within 30 minutes of poll closing. No, Iowa will not be called within 30min
2. Virginia and New Mexico will be decided by the same margin Possibly
3. Trump loses Michigan narrowly but John James wins the senate race It is possible if James can appeal slightly better in Metro Detroit while not losing MAGA voters
4. Biden will drop out after South Carolina Certainly possible
5. Wisconsin's rural counties and WOW counties trend red as more establishment Republicans come on board. It is possible
6. Pennsylvania turnout % decreases from 2016 and Trump wins it by a wider margin than expected I don't foresee this given the amount of attention that will be paid to PA
7. Republicans come a few seats away from retaking the house but ultimately fail Their gains will not be this big
8. The democrat will get less votes in Texas then Beto did in 2018 Probably not given it is a Presidential year
9. Maricopa County goes for Trump and Mark Kelly and Trump wins Arizona by 3 This is possible
10. Trump improves with black and hispanic voters over 2016 even if Kamala is the nominee It could happen, but mostly sounds like a pipedream
11. Trump aggressively campaigns in Oregon and it votes to the right of Colorado Lol no
12. Democrats win, albeit narrowly, with white college educated voters It won't be narrow
13. Florida gets called for Trump before 10 PM. This is possible
14. Dems win the popular vote by over 4 percent And Dems lose dozens of House seats? And black and Latino voters shift toward the GOP? Unlikely combination
15. Georgia goes red by 3.5 and Texas goes red by 6 Possible
