Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,863
Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30
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« on: June 08, 2015, 09:42:29 PM » |
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My version:
Changes from yours were primarily instances where I thought you were relying too heavily on the district's congressional voting. For instance, I feel that IL-13 is more likely to go Dem than IL-12 because of the trends - 13 will see a jump in turnout from 2014 due to its heavy minority and college populations while 12's trends mimic what we see in the south really, being willing to vote for local Dems but increasingly anti-national Dems in recent decades and especially in recent years.
Same goes with some districts in upper WI and MI and MN. Opposite goes for some suburban districts that may be solid R locally but only lean or likely R on the Presidential level.
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