IL/WI: Who is more vulnerable in 2016?

[Mr. Illini]

Who is more vulnerable in 2016?

On the surface, it would definitely be Kirk, as Illinois is always tough for Republicans and especially in Presidential years. That said, Johnson has blundered several times already and doesn't appear to want to win. Kirk is well-liked among some suburban Democrats (however, Duckworth is also a suburban favorite) and he's off to a great fundraising start.

I think it is Mark Kirk, but Johnson better get on his game if he would like to avoid a glorious descent as well.

[Mr. Illini]

I voted for Johnson. Kirk is clearly vulnerable, but he has an amazing ability to win tough races, so I'm not counting him out. He's also very personable (I've met him in person) which certainly helps on the campaign trail.

That was more due to his incredible luck in drawing incompetent or deeply flawed opponents than his campaign skills.
Of course the jury is still out for Duckworth too when it comes to how formidable a candidate she is.

You don't go to the Northwest and Northern suburbs to find non-Jewish liberals en masse; Democrats shouldn't have as easy of a time the last two cycles as she did with that district, which voted for GWB twice and elected Henry Hyde time after time.

Meh, the Schaumburg/Palatine/Arlington Heights suburban sprawl area is pretty in-the-middle and is, if anything, drifting very much toward the Dems as the GOP is percieved to be going right-ward.

Not a liberal area necessarily, but no longer a Republican stronghold.