Mr. Illini's Chicagoland Township Map Thread

[Mr. Illini]

2014 Gubernatorial as well

Notice all of those north suburban townships that went for Obama twice went for Rauner. Also notice a ward in the city going for Rauner.

In the city, Quinn was largely able to hold Obama's numbers among African Americans. The Hispanic and white areas are where we saw sharp R swings.

[Mr. Illini]

2014 Gubernatorial as well

Notice all of those north suburban townships that went for Obama twice went for Rauner. Also notice a ward in the city going for Rauner.

In the city, Quinn was largely able to hold Obama's numbers among African Americans. The Hispanic and white areas are where we saw sharp R swings.

Is that purple spot a tie?

That it is; River Forest tied.

[Mr. Illini]

2014 Gubernatorial as well

Notice all of those north suburban townships that went for Obama twice went for Rauner. Also notice a ward in the city going for Rauner.

In the city, Quinn was largely able to hold Obama's numbers among African Americans. The Hispanic and white areas are where we saw sharp R swings.

Is that purple spot a tie?

Quinn held up well with whites on the southwest side too. Worth township should have fell before most of those northern suburbs going off Obama's numbers

Although that probably says more about Obama than it does Quinn

My initial inkling is that that is a very historically Irish area, which would obviously aid Quinn.

Also worth noting that Rauner was a better fit for the northern suburbs.

[Mr. Illini]

2014 Gubernatorial as well

Notice all of those north suburban townships that went for Obama twice went for Rauner. Also notice a ward in the city going for Rauner.

In the city, Quinn was largely able to hold Obama's numbers among African Americans. The Hispanic and white areas are where we saw sharp R swings.

Is that purple spot a tie?

Quinn held up well with whites on the southwest side too. Worth township should have fell before most of those northern suburbs going off Obama's numbers

Although that probably says more about Obama than it does Quinn

My initial inkling is that that is a very historically Irish area, which would obviously aid Quinn.

Also worth noting that Rauner was a better fit for the northern suburbs.

Yeah its socially conservative and heavily union, the worst fit for Rauner

Also, just to tack in on: "Pat Quinn." Just sayin'.

[Mr. Illini]

Is the high turnout Quinn township to the upper left of Riverside representing River Forest?

[Mr. Illini]

2014 Gubernatorial as well

Notice all of those north suburban townships that went for Obama twice went for Rauner. Also notice a ward in the city going for Rauner.

In the city, Quinn was largely able to hold Obama's numbers among African Americans. The Hispanic and white areas are where we saw sharp R swings.

What is the ward that voted for Rauner?

42nd Ward, which covers Streeterville, River North, the Loop, and parts of the Near West Side.

And he just barely lost the 43rd Ward (which includes Lincoln Park), by a mere 0.7 percent. The 41st Ward, on the far northwest side, was the only other close one, with Quinn prevailing, 50% to 47%. Rauner's next-best ward was the 2nd, on the near west side, where he got 44%.


It drops off quickly from there

Ah, okay thanks; that's what I figured, because if I were to guess anywhere in Chicago voting for any Republican, it'd be that area.

The far northwest side wards are typically much more Republican than the River North ward, but this election also illustrated that they are much more inelastic than River North as well.

Obama's margins in the Rauner ward were considerably higher than the wards on the far northwest side, yet Quinn maintained Obama's margins on the far NW side (at least to more degree) while the River North/Gold Coast saw a massive swing from Obama to Rauner - so much that he was able to win it.

[Mr. Illini]

More free time as we march into the holiday week this week.

Dick Durbin's re-election in Cook County.

Kirk's 2010 race will be next.

Something I thought of today: can't wait to make this for Clinton vs. Sanders in March, assuming Bernie is still in it. Will be fascinating.

[Mr. Illini]

Do you know where I could get a statewide map?

Of what exactly - townships, precincts, counties, localities, etc?

[Mr. Illini]

Do you know where I could get a statewide map?

Of what exactly - townships, precincts, counties, localities, etc?

Townships and/or precincts.

Unfortunately not a statewide version. Additionally, that data is very difficult to put together because it is not handled centrally and many counties do not publish it. It's just by the grace of God that last year I was able to compile a map of Chicagoland by township in the 2014 election, and it took a lot of spreadsheet work.

[Mr. Illini]

Found this this afternoon. No credit to me, all to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Really cool though.

Extended Chicagoland (Cook, collars+, NWI, Kenosha) in the 2008 Presidential election. All by precinct.

[Mr. Illini]

For the Democratic primary in Cook, I'm expecting Clinton to win by a lot (possibly up to 20 points). Still, the well off liberal white areas will vote for Bernie, like Evanston. The only places I see Bernie having a chance in area University hubs like Champaign-Urbana and (maybe) northwest Illinois (I'm guessing Bernie will do well in Eastern Iowa)

I anticipate moderate Clinton margins in NW and SW Cook (Palatine, Barrington, Schaumburg, etc; Orland, Lemont, etc), Sanders victories in super white liberal areas (Evanston, Skokie, Park Ridge, Oak Park, LaGrange, Chicago Northside, etc), large Clinton margins in Hispanic and black areas (Cicero, Berwyn, Chicago Southside, Chicago Westside, Rich, Bloom, etc).

Probably something like 60-30 Clinton.

[Mr. Illini]

I've found the time to make a new creation.

This is the IL-10 race in 2014 by township. Some townships are only partially covered by the district (but completely filled in).

It really showcases why Dold was able to upset Schneider. Some of the townships that Dold won are typically stalwart Democratic townships (West Deerfield, Vernon, Avon). Sure, turnout was low and distaste for Pat Quinn was high, but I get the feeling that Dold made serious inroads among Dems in these townships (like Kirk did when he represented the district).

It could be tougher in 2016 than some Dems like to think.

[Mr. Illini]

For reference, here is how the townships that are entirely represented in the 10th went in the 2012 Presidential

[Mr. Illini]

2010 Democratic U.S. Senate Primary in Illinois

Chicagoland: Cook, Lake, DuPage, and Will Counties

Alexi Giannoulias
David Hoffman
Cheryle Jackson



Hoffman did very well in well-to-do areas such as the North Shore, Oak Park/River Forest, and parts of DuPage. He went to high school at New Trier and is of that brand. To my surprise, he also won in heavily-Hispanic Cicero and Berwyn.

Alexi did best in middle class and rural areas. Jackson won a couple of heavily black south suburban townships.

[Mr. Illini]

2016 Democratic Primary for Cook County, IL State's Attorney



A pretty high-profile race. Alvarez was incumbent and criticized for her handling of the Laquan McDonald case.

She was soundly defeated by very strong progressive challenger Kim Foxx (by margins that even Foxx probably didn't expect). Foxx was a Preckwinkle (also known as a reformer) favorite while Alvarez was presumed to be Rahmbo's candidate (although he was fairly mum on the race, avoiding controversy).

The map looks a lot like the Clinton-Sanders map, with Clinton and Foxx largely lining up and Sanders and Alvarez the same. This a tad ironic because Sanders and Foxx were the outsiders in the primary.

It makes sense, though, seeing as though both Sanders and Alvarez were more attractive to Hispanics and middle/working class whites. Sanders for reasons the forum already knows. Alvarez was more popular with Hispanics likely because of her status as a Hispanic individual and more popular with middle/working class whites because of her strong stances against crime.

Clinton and Foxx, meanwhile, more popular with African-Americans and wealthier whites. Clinton, again, for reasons the forum already knows. Foxx was more popular with the black community because she made criminal justice reform her #1 issue, and it helps that she is black herself. I get the feeling that Foxx was more popular with wealthier whites because these areas are more isolated from crime and Democrats in these areas tend to be more progressive on social issues than some of the old-school blue collar white Dems.

Hope you all enjoy! I get the feeling that our Illinois posters will especially. I remember Green Line said he was voting in the Dem primary and voting for Alvarez. Too bad -- bye Anita.

[Mr. Illini]

More finished ahead of Alvarez in the following wards:

6th (south side, majority black)
8th (south side, majority black)
21st (south side, majority black)

So it is a nay on More finishing ahead of Alvarez on the north side, but a few cases on the south side. More's numbers were certainly higher generally on the north side, but Anita's were so low in black wards that More finished ahead of her in select wards. The black community really doesn't like Anita Alvarez.

More also came within 3% of finishing ahead of Alvarez in Evanston, which makes sense with it being a mix of African-Americans and liberal whites (used to call them Lakefront Liberals) whose voting patterns align with the north side wards.

Also within 4% of Alvarez in heavily black south suburban Rich Township.

[Mr. Illini]

I'll have to do a map of the Brown race. Crazy stuff - Cook Co Dems fully rescinded their endorsement - should have been a death knell.

Somehow, she persevered. Gotta love Chicago politics! Always keeps you guessing.

Did your township/ward (can't remember if you're in the city or not) go Alvarez or Foxx?

[Mr. Illini]

I'll have to do a map of the Brown race. Crazy stuff - Cook Co Dems fully rescinded their endorsement - should have been a death knell.

Somehow, she persevered. Gotta love Chicago politics! Always keeps you guessing.

Did your township/ward (can't remember if you're in the city or not) go Alvarez or Foxx?

Gotta love it... Unless you live here!

My home went for Alvarez strongly, but the ward where I live now was won by Foxx.
An election like this makes me wish Cook County had a top 2 jungle primary, because I think Alvarez would have had a decent shot at beating Foxx when you include Republican and Independent votes.

Haha I still love it. Entertaining at the very least, and Brown is unlikely to hurt anyone. Just another corrupt politician engaging in patronage.

[Mr. Illini]

Going to chronicle this. Explanation is in the 2016 mapping thread.

[Mr. Illini]