How Would Your State Vote on Secession? (user search)
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  How Would Your State Vote on Secession? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How Would Your State Vote on Secession?  (Read 4379 times)
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,864
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

« on: September 19, 2014, 02:11:38 PM »
« edited: September 19, 2014, 02:15:37 PM by Mr. Illini »

Basically what muon said. Not a county would be less than 80% against in Illinois and most would be 90%+. Chicagoland would be strongly opposed because of it being deeply connected to the rest of the country economically. The rest of the state would vote strongly against to avoid being ruled at the hands of Chicagoland. The most support would probably come from downstate, more liberal counties that are less connected economically with the rest of the country and interested in more left-wing governance. They still wouldn't oppose it by less than 75-80%, though.



If the state were to vote on the separation of Chicagoland, it would be a fascinating map. In this proposal, the counties of Lake, Cook, DuPage, McHenry, Kane, DeKalb, Kendall, and Will would become their own state. This is much more feasible than simply Cook becoming its own state. In this vote, you would have strong support in the southern part of the state and moderate support in Cook County. Strong opposition would come in the collar counties and liberal counties downstate and out west.

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Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,864
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2014, 05:52:51 PM »


If the state were to vote on the separation of Chicagoland, it would be a fascinating map. In this proposal, the counties of Lake, Cook, DuPage, McHenry, Kane, DeKalb, Kendall, and Will would become their own state. This is much more feasible than simply Cook becoming its own state. In this vote, you would have strong support in the southern part of the state and moderate support in Cook County. Strong opposition would come in the collar counties and liberal counties downstate and out west.



It would be quite interesting if the entire state of Illinois was allowed to vote on whether or not to essentially give Chicagoland the boot - haha!

If only the Chicagoland counties were allowed to vote on such a proposal, do you think the numbers in Cook County would be enough to overcome the high margins in the well-to-do suburbs?

It sure would be interesting. Typically you have downstate and Chicago being very opposed in elections with the suburbs being swingy. In this case downstate and Cook are more or less in agreement with the suburbs being very opposed.

Illinois is currently a blue state largely because the suburbs are able to tack on enough blue votes (on top of Chicago) to put the state out of play with downstate largely irrelevant. If we go back to the days of swing-state Illinois, we see it was a swing state because Chicago and the suburbs were very much opposed (the suburbs were staunch Republican pre-1990's). Downstate was, though, split at the time between GOP corn country (it still hasn't changed) and the blue dog southern third (that's changed a lot).

My guess is that Chicago + downstate would put the NO team out of play, but if it were strictly Chicagoland voting it would be more competitive.
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