Bush does well at debates (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Bush does well at debates (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bush does well at debates  (Read 951 times)
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« on: January 11, 2005, 06:58:20 PM »



My prediction: 332-206 Bush electoral win.

I agree with almost everything.  However, I don't think Bush would have gotten over 60% in Georgia.  He's already very close, but the Republicans have just about maxed out the white population there.  Unless Bush won a substantial minority, around 25%, of the African-American population, Bush could not have gotten over 60%.  The demographics have moved slightly in the democrats favor since Reagan got over 60%.  Also, I think Michigan should be won without a majority.
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