How could these election results happen? (user search)
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  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  How could these election results happen? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How could these election results happen?  (Read 1615 times)
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« on: January 07, 2005, 05:08:05 PM »

I put two completely random elections together by just random putting numbers into the URL of a map.  How could these happen?



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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2005, 05:17:58 PM »


Find the candidates you think would make it the closest.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #2 on: January 07, 2005, 06:49:19 PM »

I put two completely random elections together by just random putting numbers into the URL of a map.  How could these happen?




In the first map there is no way that Nebraska could be won by I think thats over 60 or over 70 percent while a Republican candidate wins two CDs with over 50% of the vote. So it is impossible.

It is possible, but almost impossible.  There could be extremely high turnout in the one CD and extremely low turnout in the other two.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #3 on: January 07, 2005, 07:16:02 PM »
« Edited: January 07, 2005, 09:26:59 PM by True Democrat »

Here's another way that's a little better.  I say it's a different version of 1976, but Reagan instead of Dole.  It might have also been Rockefeller instead of Ford.  The only unexplainable states are Indiana, Wyoming, and Arizona.  The unexplainable percentages are Indiana, Kansas, Nevada, California (although kind of possible with Reagan), Wisconsin, and Maine.

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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #4 on: January 07, 2005, 07:19:20 PM »


See my edited remarks.
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