Why did Stevenson win Missouri in 1956? (user search)
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  Why did Stevenson win Missouri in 1956? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why did Stevenson win Missouri in 1956?  (Read 2385 times)
TDAS04
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« on: April 24, 2021, 06:42:01 PM »

Missouri was close both times, and it fits with the pattern of the agricultural Midwest swinging Democratic that year.  Take a look at how the Dakotas swung against Ike!
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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: April 24, 2021, 08:47:13 PM »

Ike went from winning Missouri by 2% to losing it by 0.2%.  The swing isn't that significant.  

This is like asking "why did FDR win Michigan in 1944?"  Yes, he had lost it four years earlier (and the Midwest generally swung right in 1944), but it's a matter of a 1-point win versus a 0.3-point loss.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2021, 09:49:36 PM »

Ike went from winning Missouri by 2% to losing it by 0.2%.  The swing isn't that significant.  

This is like asking "why did FDR win Michigan in 1944?"  Yes, he had lost it four years earlier (and the Midwest generally swung right in 1944), but it's a matter of a 1-point win versus a 0.3-point loss.

Obviously the swing wasn’t huge but it is a bit of an oddity nonetheless.

Perhaps the explanation about parts of the rural midwest swinging against him explains it, but even then I’m not sure why. Was there some kind of agricultural crisis I’m not aware of?

There was a sharp increase in farms being sold or consolidated in the 1950s.  New technology resulted in some loss of jobs.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #3 on: May 11, 2021, 05:10:57 PM »

Ike went from winning Missouri by 2% to losing it by 0.2%.  The swing isn't that significant.  

This is like asking "why did FDR win Michigan in 1944?"  Yes, he had lost it four years earlier (and the Midwest generally swung right in 1944), but it's a matter of a 1-point win versus a 0.3-point loss.
That said, why did FDR lose several plains and midwestern states in 1940 and 1944? I have never seen any material covering anger towards FDR in this period. One would think places like Ohio and Michigan benefitted greatly from his policies.

Swings against FDR were especially sharp in areas where a large share of the population was of German ancestry.

Also, some people grew increasingly leery of the New Deal, and some felt that FDR had been President long enough, and there were other reasons.
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