Favorite recent post by the previous poster

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From a President-Elect 1988 simulation

2020: Popular Junior SC Senator [NAME REDACTED BECAUSE IT'S ME] wins the primary on a progressive platform, and chooses VT Senator Bernie Sanders as his running mate. Trump continually shoots himself in the foot, especially at debates. Once election night comes, [REDACTED] is ahead in even traditionally GOP states, but by the end of election night, he does even better than expected.

[REDACTED]/Sanders: 521 EV, 58.8%
Trump/Pence: 17 EV, 41.9%

Oklahoma is closest, decided by 12,000 votes.

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Context:

The way $hrillary murders her political opponents is ice-cold, and if she succeeded in trying to become Queen then Bill would have become King.

Uncharted

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Because there’s a 10K feet volcano on it?

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Context.

Liz is a proud female Democrat so she’s clearly a member of the Hillary wing of the party.

The Last Jedi

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I’m assuming this is sarcastic.

No because kissing is a sin.

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It’s not 2002 anymore, enough said.

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I think Hickenlooper, Perlmutter, or Polis might run against Gardner in 2020.

Ed Perlmutter did a 180 when he decided to run for reelection after dropping out for governor. Not sure what exactly that might signal, but I supposed he could be interested in moving up to the Senate.

As for John Hickenlooper, it must be noted that he's never before held office in the Legislative Branch. Before he was elected governor, he was the mayor of Denver, and before that, a businessman. A decent executive does not necessarily a good legislator make. Take Joe Manchin, for example. When he was governor, he genuinely enjoyed his job and his popularity was through the roof. Now in the Senate, he's shed a lot of that popularity, he's been forced to "ride the fence" quite a bit, and he hasn't had as much of a good time (though it's probably been good for his wallet). That's why I was sort of surprised that Manchin decided to run for reelection this year rather than running for gov in 2016 or retiring from politics altogether. There's plenty more examples from both parties throughout history. Considering all this, gun to my head, I'd probably bet that Hickenlooper runs for Prez rather than Senate. But we really don't know 100% how these things will turn out until they actually happen, so he may surprise us yet.

Out of the three mentioned, Jared Polis would be able to accrue most seniority in the Senate. Let's not kid ourselves here, though. He's in the governor's race to win it. As much as I'd like to see Cary Kennedy beat him in the primary, it seems highly unlikely at this point. Barring some sort of unknown scandal of actual substance, he's also on track to demolishing Walker Stapleton in the GE. In the event that he does lose, and it isn't because of a scandal, I could see him making a comeback by going after Gardner. But that would also depend on whether he loses in the primary or the general. If Polis loses in the general election to Stapleton, who's more flawed than Gardner by a country mile, it would signify that he's too weak to take on the latter in 2020.

If none of the above three or other well known quantities jump in the race, there's going to be a very interesting and possibly dirty primary brewing on the horizon. Lots of ambitious folks making their move. Hold your horses and prepare for the ride!

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Alabama - Likely R
Alaska - Tossup
Arizona - Lean R
Arkansas - Safe R
California - Safe D
Colorado - Likely D
Connecticut - Likely D
Florida - Tossup
Georgia - Tossup
Hawaii - Safe D
Idaho - Safe R
Illinois - Likely D
Iowa - Tossup
Kansas - Tossup
Maine - Lean D
Maryland - Lean R
Massachusetts - Safe R
Michigan - Lean D
Minnesota - Safe D
Nebraska - Safe R
Nevada - Lean D
New Hampshire - Tossup
New Mexico - Safe D
New York - Safe D
Ohio - Tossup
Oklahoma - Lean R
Oregon - Safe D
Pennsylvania - Safe D
Rhode Island - Lean D
South Carolina - Likely R
South Dakota - Likely R
Tennessee - Lean R
Texas - Safe R
Vermont - Likely R
Wisconsin - Lean D
Wyoming - Likely R

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https://steamcommunity.com/id/RealDuncanHunter

“The vape king of video games” lol

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You said you support "limits" on assault weapons and magazines, but could you be more specific than that? Should we understand that you oppose a ban on assault weapons?

By supporting "limits" on assault weapons and high capacity magazines, I support a ban on them for most people with some limited exceptions for people who have a real need for them, such as armed guards. It would be similar to the Federal Assault Weapons Ban.

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https://www.mediamatters.org/video/2019/01/08/sean-hannity-issues-dire-warning-if-taxes-are-raised-rich-people-are-not-going-remodel-their-homes/222456

You must be logged in to read this quote.

He's also claimed that higher taxes will stop rich people from taking expensive vacations.

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He explicitly said Trump wasn't exonerated, plus we don't know what evidence Mueller got and whether Barr is hiding the full truth. And on top of that there are all sorts of other investigations into Trump. So Trump still has the corruption cloud over him, he was just fortunate that it didn't get even worse with him being explicitly implicated.

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The NRA is corrupt as hell.

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"Oh my god Joe Biden is a pedophile and has been on tape, for years, we'll just ignore the part how we were all ok with it for years when he was vp but now we're suddenly woke." - Democrats who have truly gone off the deep end.

This has been a revealing news cycle.

Somehow, people who have followed politics for years, who have joked about Joe Biden, and who have known perfectly well how he behaved in public for at least the duration of his vice presidency, if not longer... all of them have experienced a simultaneous Damascene conversion.

Moreover, since it's woke to insist that this is about power over women and sexual gratification, these critics are forced to the absurd conclusion that Joe Biden must be not just a creep, but a pedophile who's been getting his rocks off in public for decades.

Is it cynical, or is it sincere? Honestly, I'm not sure which is worse.

- I actually don't think Biden's behavior in this respect was well known at all prior to this incident tbh.  I certainly didn't know there had been anything other than the incident with Ash Carter's wife, which I had always said was kinda creepy prior to her recent comments on the matter.  And that's the appropriate word for most of the behavior in question tbh: "creepy." 

However, Biden's behavior towards Flores – assuming the 2014 incident actually happened (and nothing I've read leads me to doubt that it did) – was completely unacceptable.  Americans should both expect and demand better from those seeking the Presidency (or any other public office, for that matter).  Furthermore, AFAIK Biden hasn't shown any sign that he thinks he did anything wrong which is a problem in and of itself.  His response has essentially been: "I didn't do anything wrong, but I'm sorry that you were uncomfortable with how I behaved for some weird reason." 

When politicians give a non-apology apology about something where it's unclear whether one should give them the benefit of the doubt, they make it that you can't give them the benefit of the doubt anymore even if you want to imo.  Either Flores is making this whole thing up (in which case that's obviously horrible for a litany of reasons and Biden should fight back) or Biden behaved in a completely unacceptable manner (whether he meant well or not) and still doesn't see why it was wrong which (among other things) raises serious questions about both his judgement and his personal values (which is arguably another issue in-and-of-itself). 

- Re: Your third paragraph and your post's last two sentences: I could be wrong, but AFAIK no one except a smattering of anti-Biden hacks on Atlas have suggested that Biden is a pedophile or even that he belongs in the same category as folks like Franken, Trump, etc.  What I have seen are folks arguing that his behavior is creepy, that the Flores incident was unacceptable, and an internal debate within the Democratic Party over whether such behavior should be disqualifying on its own (with plenty of Democrats – rightly or wrongly – proving perfectly willing to give Biden a pass on this).  I think this part of your post conflates a few random internet posters with most Democrats in a way that is rather misleading (just to be clear, I'm not saying you did this intentionally). 

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Tammy Duckworth

Lol I just realized that Duckworth holds Obama's old Senate seat. That'd make things interesting.

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The food is terrible.

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Absolutely not.

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Born in 2000; actually used them a lot when I was young, and still have some

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They don’t moderate a political forum so no.

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What's a sports?

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For Georgia, that wouldn't actually surprise me regardless of the outcome. Races here aren't called until ~11pm anyway (Trump was declared the victor at 11:18) because of Metro Atlanta's slow vote count. It will be interesting to see if this will change with the new voting machines.

Otherwise, the fact that Michigan and Pennsylvania have flipped back, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, and Texas are all uncalled, and Minnesota was already called means that I'd be feeling somewhat optimistic if I was the Dem. Looking back through the various network election night broadcasts from 2016, by this point Trump had won Florida, North Carolina, Texas, Iowa, and Ohio while Pennsylvania, Michigan, Maine statewide, Minnesota, and Wisconsin were all uncalled.

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I nailed the 2018 House predictions. I predicted a 235-200 balance, which is exactly what happened (counting NC-09 as R), though I messed up on some individual seats (I didn't see the unexpected upsets coming, and I also picked Dems to win seats that they didn't, such as FL-15). I also came really close for the NC-09 special (2 point Bishop win).

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Got this strange map trying to get a Humphrey 1968 win in President Elect. Don't ask how PA went Nixon.

348-163-27

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The fact that faithless electors are a possibility in the first place is incredibly dumb.  The fact that we had special snowflake electors casting votes in 2016 for Colin Powell, John Kasich, Ron Paul, Bernie Sanders, and Faith Spotted Eagle should be evidence that this is totally broken.

Can you imagine having to explain to some foreigner why our democracy is great when Colin Powell received 3 EVs for president and Elizabeth Warren got 2 EVs for VP?

That's your problem, and not the fact that we have a geographically gamed and weighted system for electing the President in the first place?