How would have Hillary's 2008 map differed?

[TDAS04]

[TDAS04]

So she wins KY and WV, but loses Hi. Got it.

Oops.  Hawaii was an accident.  I think I intended to just make Hawaii <70% D, but obviously Hillary would have carried it.

Overall, I think my map is accurate, if possibly a little optimistic for Hillary.  WV, KY, & NC could easily have gone Republican, but I think Clinton would probably have carried the rest of the states I have in red (plus Hawaii )

[TDAS04]

I may have been too generous to Hillary with my map, at least with Kentucky and probably West Virginia too. 

Arkansas, on the other hand, I could easily see as having gone to Clinton in 2008.  Kerry lost it by only 10 points, and its swing against Obama seems to have been a combination of racism and the PUMA effect (female Hillary supporters refusing to back Obama in the general).  According to exit polls, Kerry and Obama both lost the state's men 40-59.  Arkansas women almost backed Kerry (he got 49%), but Obama took only 39%.