Who is the luckiest currently serving American politician?

[LeBron]

Harry Reid would easily be the luckiest. He's survived narrow races with strong GOP candidates (Ensign) and in terrible years for Senate Democrats in 2004 and 2010, Reid gets a homophobic social conservative one year and a Tea Partier the other and if Sandoval declines a run in 2016 depending on if the Lt. Gov is a Democrat or he's more interested in returning to a judicial career, Reid's luck will keep on going alongside Hillary. McConnell is just as lucky though for somehow being able to survive 2008 (and favored to survive this year) as well as Boehner for skating by all his primaries thanks to the lack of organization and weak field of Ohio Tea Party candidates.

Others I would say are Heidi Heitkamp since she barely survived against a misogynist who believed raped women should be jailed for getting an abortion. Rob Portman as well given how even with the strong attacks against him as a Bush lackey who sent jobs overseas, Fisher was a terrible fundraiser who gained criticism alongside Strickland for the Ohio recession and the fact that it was 2010 and Fisher had a strong primary challenge. Then there's also the 2006 class (Sherrod Brown, Bill Nelson, Bob Casey, Claire McCaskill, Jon Tester) who got elected b/c of Bush and Iraq and survived re-election thanks to terrible candidates put up by the GOP in 2012 (not to have counted any of them out, though if those Dems got decent candidates). And when you think about it, luck really applies to most Senators. Donnelly sure as heck was lucky, Heller was for being there at the right time to fill Ensign's seat and barely surviving the election thanks to an unpopular Democrat, Murkowski for obvious reasons, Franken, Fisher since she would have never won if Ben Nelson ran again and she lucked it in facing a war criminal, Begich for barely beating a scandal-plagued Senator and now lucking out this year with higher turnout from ballot issues and a possible Miller Indie run, Kirk and Toomey because 2010, Tim Johnson for not ending up like Tom Daschle, Marco Rubio, Mary Landrieu, Michael Bennet and just on and on.

In the House, the obvious pick is Matheson in being able to survive in Utah as a Democrat and only by a few hundred votes in 2012 as well as Rahall if he pulls it off again. Just about all other Bluedogs still in the House and Tea Party Republicans in ruby red districts as well and Bob Gibbs should get an honorable mention for avoiding a Democratic challenge from John Boccieri this year or let alone any Democrat. David Joyce to for somehow being able to fend off Matt Lynch this year.

Governor's - LePage is the luckiest of them all for managing to get elected as a Tea Partier in Maine b/c of vote splitting and possibly being able to survive again if Cutler makes enough of an impact. Also Christie for strongly winning re-election shortly before Bridgegate was leaked, McAuliffe eeked out a win courtesy of Sarvis and the VA GOP, Pat Quinn for obvious reasons, Kasich, Walker, Snyder and Branstad for being elected by the skin of their teeth in Obama states amid outside money and terrible state economies, and Bullock, Jay Nixon, and Tomblin since they got elected in Presidential years and probably none of them would have survived a state governor race in 2010.