LeBron
LeBron FitzGerald
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,906
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« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2013, 12:43:30 AM » |
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2013: New Jersey - Chris Christie Virginia - Terry McAuliffe (With the Cuccinelli scandal arising and E.W. Jackson ruining everything for him, McAuliffe is a sure win now and will win by about 4-5 points).
2014: Alabama- Robert J. Bentley Alaska- Sean Parnell Arizona- Chad Campbell (I think the Democrats can win this one given that Hispanics make up over 30% of the electorate). Arkansas- Asa Hutchinson (I would have said Ross back in February, but the GOP gap is widening too much for a Democratic hold) California- Jerry Brown Colorado- John Hickenlooper Connecticut- Dan Malloy (By a close margin) Florida- Charlie Crist Georgia- Nathan Deal Hawaii- Neil Abercrombie Idaho- Butch Otter Illinois- Dan Rutherford (Kind of too early to say, but I think Rutherford could eak out a win even if Daley wins the primary). Iowa- Terry Branstad Kansas- Sam Brownback Maine- Mike Michaud (Given how unpopular LePage has become, Cutler won't make as big of an impact on the election as he did in 2010). Maryland- Anthony Brown Massachusetts- Mike Capuano Michigan- Mark Schauer (Assuming King doesn't run, just like with FitzGerald, it's merely getting name recognition in the next year and then he should be able to defeat him). Minnesota- Mark Dayton Nebraska- Don Stenberg Nevada- Brian Sandoval New Hampshire- Maggie Hassan New Mexico- Susana Martinez New York- Andrew Cuomo Ohio- Ed FitzGerald (His approval is at 54% and he's beating FitzGerald by 14 points, but there's so many factors that play into this that can get the Democrat the win. Again, name recognition, he'll get more votes out of the North and probably the Southeast to with the help of Strickland, unemployment and poverty is rising, and just like when Strickland's approval bombed in Autumn 2010 due to all the jobs lost, I think the same will end up happening to Kasich). Oklahoma- Mary Fallin Oregon- John Kitzhaber Pennsylvania- Allyson Schwartz Rhode Island- Gina Raimondo (Even if Chafee wins the primary, his state approval would increase by election time and he could still win it). South Carolina- Nikki Haley (Same reason SawxDem gave). South Dakota- Dennis Dauggard Tennessee- Bill Haslam Texas- Greg Abbott Vermont- Peter Shumlin Wisconsin- Scott Walker Wyoming- Dave Freudenthal (I don't see Mead being allowed to run for another term, so this could be a huge upset for the Wyoming Republicans).
So after the 2014 elections, I'm predicting the Democrats will hold 25 Governor's seats and the Republicans 25 Governor's seats.
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