*sticks head in sand* TRUMP WILL LOSE NEVADA BECAUSE MUH HISPANIC FRIEWAL
It's not about ignoring the facts, it's about facing them. Unless Latino turnout goes way down, or Trump improves among Latinos, he would need a ridiculous swing among white voters without a college degree, something like a 30-point swing. Short of any of these three events occurring, it's not mathematically plausible for Trump to win Nevada.
You're assuming Clinton will be able to mobilize the Democratic turnout machine in Nevada to the same extent Obama could, which is a questionable assumption.